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CNS Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CNSP)·Q1 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2023 was a heavy investment quarter as CNSP accelerated its potentially pivotal Berubicin GBM trial: R&D rose to $3.57M (+89% YoY), total OpEx to $4.93M, and net loss widened to $4.93M (EPS $(2.59)) as CRO costs ramped for trial execution .
  • Clinical execution progressed: >100 patients dosed; 45 of 60 sites opened across U.S. and Europe; interim analysis now expected in Q3 2023 (slipped from prior H1 2023/Mid-2023 indications) .
  • Liquidity: Cash fell to $5.11M at 3/31, but subsequent ATM sales ($2.0M) and warrant exercises ($0.72M) extended runway “beyond the interim analysis and into Q4 2023” (management’s expectation) .
  • Key near-term catalyst: DSMB interim analysis of OS-driven pivotal trial in Q3 2023; management highlighted “flawless operational execution” and is “planning for success” as it approaches the interim readout .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Clinical execution accelerated: “100 patients now dosed” in the global Berubicin GBM trial; 45 of 60 sites opened across U.S., Italy, France, Spain, and Switzerland .
  • Clear milestone path: Company “expected” to report interim analysis Q3 2023; reiterated plan to complete enrollment and then report topline results thereafter .
  • Governance strengthened: Board additions of Faith L. Charles (Chair) and Dr. Bettina M. Cockroft (independent director) add capital markets and clinical development depth .

Quote: “Our team has continued its flawless operational execution ... boasting 100 patients now dosed … [and] we continue to plan for success as we approach our highly anticipated interim analysis … expected in the third quarter of this year.” – CEO John Climaco .

What Went Wrong

  • Expense intensity and losses increased: R&D jumped to $3.57M (from $1.89M YoY) as CRO spend rose with trial progress; net loss widened to $4.93M (from $3.15M YoY) .
  • Guidance slip on interim timing: Prior updates had pointed to H1 2023/mid-2023; current timing moved to Q3 2023 .
  • Going-concern risk remains a factor: 10-Q notes substantial doubt and need for additional financing; though subsequent ATM/warrant proceeds extend runway, further capital will be required to complete programs .

Financial Results

Note: CNSP is a clinical-stage biotech with no product revenue to date .

Metric (USD)Q1 2022Q3 2022Q1 2023
R&D Expense ($M)$1.89 $2.21 $3.57
G&A Expense ($M)$1.26 $1.21 $1.36
Total Operating Expenses ($M)$3.15 $3.42 $4.93
Net Loss ($M)$(3.15) $(3.42) $(4.93)
Diluted EPS ($)$(2.44) $(0.09) $(2.59)
Weighted Avg Shares (M)1.29 40.03 1.91

Footnote: The company effected a 1-for-30 reverse stock split on Nov 28, 2022; historical share counts are not directly comparable across periods .

Liquidity

Metric (USD)Q3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($M)$7.03 $10.06 $5.11
Working Capital ($M)$7.46 $3.05

KPIs and Operations

KPIQ1 2022Q2 2022Q1 2023
Patients Dosed (trial-to-date)>100 patients
Clinical Sites Open (of planned)23 of 54 45 of 60
Interim Analysis TimingExpected H1 2023 Expected mid-2023 Expected Q3 2023
Cash Runway (Mgmt view)Into Q1 2023 Beyond interim and into Q4 2023 (post-ATM/warrants)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Berubicin interim analysis2023H1 2023 / “mid-2023” Q3 2023 Lowered (schedule slipped)
Cash runway2023Into Q1 2023 (as of 9/30/22) ; Into but not beyond Q3 2023 (as of 12/31/22) Beyond interim and into Q4 2023 (post Q1 raises) Raised (improved)
Site activation/enrollment2022–202323 sites open (of 54) 45 sites open (of 60) Raised (progressed)
WP1244/WP1874 IND2023File IND in 2023 No change disclosedMaintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript was located for Q1 2023. Themes are drawn from the earnings press release and 10-Q/10-K filings.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2022 and Q3 2022)Current Period (Q1 2023)Trend
Trial execution/enrollmentEU clinical approvals; 23 sites open; enrollment progressing >100 patients dosed; 45/60 sites open; interim in Q3 2023 Improving execution; timeline pushed
Regulatory/designationsFast Track and Orphan Drug reiterated Reiterated pivotal design (OS primary) and DSMB futility framework Consistent
Financing/runwayRunway into Q1 2023 (9/30/22) Post-Q1 ATM/warrant proceeds extend runway into Q4 2023 (mgmt expectation) Improved
Governance/talentChair (Faith Charles) and independent director (Dr. Cockroft) appointed Strengthened board
R&D portfolio (WP1244/1874)Plan to file IND in 2023 No new timing change disclosed Maintained

Management Commentary

  • “Our team has continued its flawless operational execution … boasting 100 patients now dosed … we continue to plan for success as we approach our highly anticipated interim analysis … expected in the third quarter of this year.” – John Climaco, CEO .
  • On governance: appointments of Faith L. Charles (Chair) and Dr. Bettina M. Cockroft to bring “deep … expertise” and proven development/operational backgrounds .
  • On capital: subsequent ATM issuance of 659,677 shares for $1.97M net and 238,958 warrants exercised for $0.72M net; runway “beyond the interim analysis and into the fourth quarter of 2023” (expectation) .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q1 2023 earnings call transcript or Q&A session was found in company documents during the quarter. As such, no analyst Q&A themes or management clarifications were available for extraction [functions search results showed none].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus via S&P Global for Q1 2023 EPS and revenue was unavailable (tool access limit exceeded). As a result, we cannot provide comparison vs consensus for this quarter. Where comparisons to estimates are not shown, treat consensus as unavailable from S&P Global for Q1 2023.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Interim analysis in Q3 2023 is the primary stock catalyst; the pivotal design uses OS as primary endpoint versus lomustine with 2:1 randomization and a non-binding DSMB futility analysis at ~30–50% interim population; management anticipates timing in Q3 based on enrollment/assessments .
  • Liquidity extended: Q1-end cash was $5.11M, and subsequent ATM/warrant proceeds are expected by management to fund “beyond the interim analysis and into Q4 2023,” mitigating near-term financing risk through the catalyst window .
  • Expense intensity rising with execution: R&D nearly doubled YoY to $3.57M; total OpEx $4.93M; quarterly net loss $(4.93)M—consistent with an advancing pivotal trial .
  • Ongoing financing needs: The 10-Q/MD&A and filings highlight substantial doubt/going concern and the need for additional capital to complete the program, implying potential dilution risk post-interim .
  • No revenue yet: CNSP remains a clinical-stage company with no product revenues; valuation hinges on clinical outcomes and financing capacity .
  • Governance upgrades (new Chair and independent director) and increased site activations suggest stronger execution bandwidth ahead of data readouts .
  • If interim analysis is favorable, expedited paths (Fast Track, OS endpoint) could support regulatory momentum, but negative or inconclusive outcomes would likely necessitate additional capital and strategy reassessment .

Source Documents

  • Q1 2023 8-K 2.02 and press release (Ex. 99.1): enrollment progress, interim timing, OpEx detail, cash and subsequent financing, runway .
  • Q1 2023 10-Q: financial statements, EPS, cash flows, working capital, going concern, MD&A .
  • Prior quarters: Q2 2022 8-K (sites open, milestones) ; Q3 2022 10-Q (OpEx, net loss, cash, runway) .
  • 2022 10-K: pivotal trial design, OS endpoint, DSMB plan, regulatory designations, company has had no revenues .